Causes of Variation among Rice Models in Yield Response to CO2 Examined with Free-Air CO2 Enrichment and Growth Chamber Experiments

AuthorToshihiro Hasegawa
AuthorTao Li
AuthorXinyou Yin
AuthorYan Zhu
AuthorKenneth J. Boote
AuthorJeffrey Baker
AuthorSimone Bregaglio
AuthorSamuel Buis
AuthorRoberto Confalonieri
AuthorJob Fugice
AuthorTamon Fumoto
AuthorDonald Gaydon
AuthorSoora Naresh Kumar
AuthorTanguy Lafarge
AuthorManuel Marcaida
AuthorYuji Masutomi
AuthorHiroshi Nakagawa
AuthorPhilippe Oriol
AuthorFrançoise Ruget
AuthorUpendra Singh
AuthorLiang Tang
AuthorFulu Tao
AuthorHitomi Wakatsuki
AuthorDaniel Wallach
AuthorYulong Wang
AuthorLloyd T. Wilson
AuthorLianxin Yang
AuthorYubin Yang
AuthorHiroe Yoshida
AuthorZhao Zhang
AuthorJianguo Zhu
Date of acession2023-09-18T06:45:28Z
Date of availability2023-09-18T06:45:28Z
Date of issue2017-11-01
AbstractThe CO2 fertilization effect is a major source of uncertainty in crop models for future yield forecasts, but coordinated efforts to determine the mechanisms of this uncertainty have been lacking. Here, we studied causes of uncertainty among 16 crop models in predicting rice yield in response to elevated [CO2] (E- [CO2]) by comparison to free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE) and chamber experiments. The model ensemble reproduced the experimental results well. However, yield prediction in response to E-[CO2] varied significantly among the rice models. The variation was not random: models that overestimated at one experiment simulated greater yield enhancements at the others. The variation was not associated with model structure or magnitude of photosynthetic response to E-[CO2] but was significantly associated with the predictions of leaf area. This suggests that modelled secondary effects of E-[CO2] on morphological development, primarily leaf area, are the sources of model uncertainty. Rice morphological development
CitationCauses of variation among rice models in yield response to CO2 examined with Free-Air CO2 Enrichment and growth chamber experiments
CitationHasegawa, T., T. Li, X. Yin, Y. Zhu, K. Boote, J. Baker, S. Bregaglio, S. Buis, R. Confalonieri, J. Fugice, T. Fumoto, D. Gaydon, S.N. Kumar, T. Lafarge, M. Marcaida III, Y. Masutomi, H. Nakagawa, P. Oriol, F. Ruget, U. Singh, L. Tang, F. Tao, H. Wakatsuki, D. Wallach, Y. Wang, L.T. Wilson, L. Yang, Y. Yang, H. Yoshida, Z. Zhang, and J. Zhu 2017. “Causes of Variation Among Rice Models in Yield Response to CO2 Examined with Free-Air CO2 Enrichment and Growth Chamber Experiments,” Scientific Reports 7:14854. DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017- 13582-y.
URLhttps://hub.ifdc.org/handle/20.500.14297/2486
Languageen_US
SubjectRice
TitleCauses of Variation among Rice Models in Yield Response to CO2 Examined with Free-Air CO2 Enrichment and Growth Chamber Experiments
TypeArticle
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